“Taiwan’s Vital Point In The Global Supply Chain”: What Happens If Taiwan Goes To War Against China?
Prasannkumar 
Tensions between Taiwan and China reached their highest point in decades following the visit of Nancy Pelosi (Speaker of the United States House of Representatives) and other members of Congress to the island.
While Washington’s provocations are unlikely to stop, US Senator Marsha Blackburn visited Asia at the end of August, as two US warships were passing through international waters in the Strait.
While experts are unanimous in their belief that there is no war between Beijing and Taipei at the moment, it is possible that there could be a conflict that would have a devastating impact on the supply chain.
“I believe Taiwan is an important point of conflict for the US and China. Dr. Ernesto Pascual is a professor in International Relations and Political Science at UOC. “If there ever has been a confrontation, it will likely be in this region, but right now, I don’t think that China will act directly by invading,” Pascual said.
Pascual believes that war can be seen over the long-term “in more favorable conditions” but is not currently a possibility due to the visit of Pelosi and other Americans.
Mario Garcia, an expert on international relations and Asian studies, says that neither side wants to start a war that would disrupt the supply chain under the current inflationary environment.
He said, “Especially from China’s point of view, it’s not convenient,” and added that Beijing would direct him to peacefully achieve his goal because it would have fewer economic and human costs. .
China would need to spend more time preparing to invade Taiwan. He added that war could only be started by calculation or human error at this point.
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